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Paul Hansbury
1 day ago5 min read
TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?
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Paul Hansbury
Mar 811 min read
TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?
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Paul Hansbury
Feb 136 min read
UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.
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Paul Hansbury
Jan 276 min read
BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.
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Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20244 min read
SYRIA LEAVES RUSSIA IN A QUANDARY
The fall of Assad has ramifications for Russia's power projection in the Middle East.
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Paul Hansbury
Nov 10, 20248 min read
ON BETRAYAL AND HOPE: UKRAINE'S FUTURE
Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.
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Paul Hansbury
Nov 1, 20246 min read
THE DICTATORS' BUSINESS
Anne Applebaum's latest book offers a breezy tour of Dictatorland. And it's a chilling read.
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Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20247 min read
FAR FROM PEACE
From Putin's phoney peace offer to his meeting with Kim Jong-Un, there is little cause for optimism. But you can often see what you want.
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Paul Hansbury
Jun 4, 20244 min read
WAR WHISPERS
Is Russia still advancing in Ukraine? Vladimir Putin has been busy but don't believe everything you hear.
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Paul Hansbury
Apr 2, 20247 min read
THE BRUTALISATION OF RUSSIA
A few remarks on last month's terrorist attack in Moscow. The treatment of the four suspects is part of the brutalisation of Russia.
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Paul Hansbury
Mar 24, 20246 min read
RUSSIA VOTES
Russia's election had added significance against the backdrop of war. But why does Russia bother with such an obviously undemocratic vote?
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Paul Hansbury
Mar 5, 20246 min read
PUTIN TALKS... AND TALKS
Vladimir Putin, warning NATO against deploying troops to Ukraine, says Russia is prepared for nuclear war. Is NATO ready?
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Paul Hansbury
Jan 3, 20245 min read
PARSING JUDGEMENT #2: RIGHTS AND WRONGS IN RUSSIA POLICY
Thomas Graham's new book on the United States' Russia policy will rile many readers, but it's a well-informed appraisal. Here's my review.
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Paul Hansbury
Dec 21, 20235 min read
OUTLOOK FOR THE WAR IN UKRAINE IN 2024
Vladimir Putin appears confident the war in Ukraine is turning in his favour: he could yet be hoisted with his own petard, however.
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