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VENEZUELA, SINKING
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20256 min read


STRAWS IN THE ESTONIAN WIND
Carlo Masala offers a succinct and engaging future scenario in which NATO responds inadequately to a Russian attack. It is scary because it is highly plausible.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 9, 20255 min read


THE ALASKA TALKS
A little more about the Trump-Putin Alaska summit happening today. Dashed off over lunch.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 15, 20256 min read


'WHAT'S IN ALASKA?'
Jangled nerves surround Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin's summit in Alaska, with many people fearing Trump will look to sell-out Ukraine. Is the push for peace actually going anywhere?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 12, 20255 min read


IS PEACE IN UKRAINE CLOSE?
Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 27, 20254 min read


TRUMP FRUSTRATED?
Donald Trump is 'pissed off' with Vladimir Putin. Is a change of tone coming? Or not?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 2, 20257 min read


PUTIN PUTS TRUMP IN HIS PLACE
Putin asks, Putin gets.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 19, 20254 min read


TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 15, 20255 min read


TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 8, 202511 min read


UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 13, 20256 min read


BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 27, 20256 min read


SYRIA LEAVES RUSSIA IN A QUANDARY
The fall of Assad has ramifications for Russia's power projection in the Middle East.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20244 min read


ON BETRAYAL AND HOPE: UKRAINE'S FUTURE
Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 10, 20248 min read


THE DICTATORS' BUSINESS
Anne Applebaum's latest book offers a breezy tour of Dictatorland. And it's a chilling read.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 1, 20246 min read


FAR FROM PEACE
From Putin's phoney peace offer to his meeting with Kim Jong-Un, there is little cause for optimism. But you can often see what you want.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20247 min read


WAR WHISPERS
Is Russia still advancing in Ukraine? Vladimir Putin has been busy but don't believe everything you hear.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 4, 20244 min read


THE BRUTALISATION OF RUSSIA
A few remarks on last month's terrorist attack in Moscow. The treatment of the four suspects is part of the brutalisation of Russia.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 2, 20247 min read


RUSSIA VOTES
Russia's election had added significance against the backdrop of war. But why does Russia bother with such an obviously undemocratic vote?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 24, 20246 min read


PUTIN TALKS... AND TALKS
Vladimir Putin, warning NATO against deploying troops to Ukraine, says Russia is prepared for nuclear war. Is NATO ready?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 5, 20246 min read


PARSING JUDGEMENT #2: RIGHTS AND WRONGS IN RUSSIA POLICY
Thomas Graham's new book on the United States' Russia policy will rile many readers, but it's a well-informed appraisal. Here's my review.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 3, 20245 min read
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