Who ate all the Minsk pies?

Trump, Iran, Russia, China. Just don't pretend it makes any sense. FREE TO READ

How Europe must respond if Trump takes the United States out of NATO. Three policy recommendations. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Lukashenka travelled to North Korea and presented Kim with an assault rifle. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Trump still seems to have little idea what he is doing in Iran, other than alienating friends and aiding foes. FREE TO READ

A peep into the secret world of the numbers stations. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Russia (and a little China) and the war on Iran. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Does he know what he is doing? FREE TO READ

Ukraine's leaders show renewed interest in the Belarusian pro-democracy movement. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Jeffrey Epstein, Russia, and the Belarusian dentist. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

The concluding part of this blog looks at law and power politics - and why I think both Trump and the Europeans are wrong.

What are the sources of international law? Does it have any substance and clout in a dog-eat-dog world?

A timely analysis of Russian military thinking. Very much a book that does what it says on the tin.

US-Belarus negotiations and the latest prisoner releases, and what it means for European policy.

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Steve Witkoff. A man with a dubious plan and a Gulfstream jet.

Applying some bargaining theory to negotiations and peace plans.

A quick appraisal of recent political developments in Georgia. And a short postscript on the 28-point plans (now we have two of them).

A few extra thoughts on the dubious peace plan.