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STRAWS IN THE ESTONIAN WIND
Carlo Masala offers a succinct and engaging future scenario in which NATO responds inadequately to a Russian attack. It is scary because it is highly plausible.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 95 min read
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TRUMP AND UKRAINE: NOT ALL IT SEEMS?
'A big shift' or not? Reading between the lines.
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Paul Hansbury
Sep 245 min read
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MR ZELENSKYY GOES TO WASHINGTON
Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 185 min read
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THE ALASKA TALKS
A little more about the Trump-Putin Alaska summit happening today. Dashed off over lunch.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 156 min read
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'WHAT'S IN ALASKA?'
Jangled nerves surround Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin's summit in Alaska, with many people fearing Trump will look to sell-out Ukraine. Is the push for peace actually going anywhere?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 125 min read
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IS TRUMP TURNING ON PUTIN?
Trump still likes Putin, even if the Russian president is making life harder for the White House to maintain its stance on Ukraine.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 195 min read
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ASPIRATIONS, CLASHES AND TANGLED WEBS
A round up of a week I missed: Operation Spider's Web, the UK Strategic Defence Review, and US meddling in European affairs.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 107 min read
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IS PEACE IN UKRAINE CLOSE?
Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 274 min read
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TRUMP FRUSTRATED?
Donald Trump is 'pissed off' with Vladimir Putin. Is a change of tone coming? Or not?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 27 min read
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PUTIN PUTS TRUMP IN HIS PLACE
Putin asks, Putin gets.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 194 min read
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TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 155 min read
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TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 811 min read
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AN AMERICAN DISGRACE
Trying to make sense of the slanging match in the Oval Office yesterday.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 15 min read
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PART II: WHAT SHOULD EUROPE DO?
Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Paul Hansbury
Feb 229 min read
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PART I: TRUMP'S SHOWDOWN WITH UKRAINE – AND EUROPE
Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?

Paul Hansbury
Feb 206 min read
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UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 136 min read
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BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 276 min read
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ASSASSINS AND THE LAW
On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest

Paul Hansbury
Dec 22, 20245 min read
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WOODWARD'S MANY WARS
Veteran journalist Bob Woodward probes the Joe Biden presidency, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the return of Donald Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 10, 20245 min read
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UKRAINE: 1,000 DAYS OF WAR
One thousand days of war. The US reportedly agrees to lift restrictions on Ukraine targeting Russia with long-range missiles.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 19, 20244 min read
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