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BURNHAM'S RUSSIA CHALLENGE
Britain's new prime minister pledges to stand by Ukraine. That brings another responsibility – dealing wisely with Russian hostility. FREE TO READ
Paul Hansbury
Aug 285 min read
TUG-OF-WAR OVER ARMENIA
A belated comment on Armenia's election on 7 June. And I cannot help myself from a comment on Trump's provisional Iran agreement. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY
Paul Hansbury
Jun 195 min read
CALAMITY DON'S WAR
Trump still seems to have little idea what he is doing in Iran, other than alienating friends and aiding foes. FREE TO READ
Paul Hansbury
Mar 216 min read
RUSSIA AND CHINA STAY AWAY?
Russia (and a little China) and the war on Iran. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY
Paul Hansbury
Mar 115 min read
TERROR IN TEHRAN
Does he know what he is doing?
FREE TO READ
Paul Hansbury
Mar 58 min read
FIGHTING TALK
A timely analysis of Russian military thinking. Very much a book that does what it says on the tin.
Paul Hansbury
Jan 95 min read
VENEZUELA, SINKING
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.
Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20256 min read
ONE OF THE PRESIDENT'S MEN (PART II)
Steve Witkoff. A man with a dubious plan and a Gulfstream jet.
Paul Hansbury
Nov 30, 20256 min read
BARGAINING IN WARTIME (PART I)
Applying some bargaining theory to negotiations and peace plans.
Paul Hansbury
Nov 28, 20256 min read
BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (I)
A belated comment on September's joint Russian-Belarusian military exercise, Zapad-2025.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 21, 20255 min read
AMERICA'S ASIAN ALLIES
Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 16, 20255 min read
STRAWS IN THE ESTONIAN WIND
Carlo Masala offers a succinct and engaging future scenario in which NATO responds inadequately to a Russian attack. It is scary because it is highly plausible.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 9, 20255 min read
TRUMP AND THE PEACE PRIZE
What has Donald Trump achieved with his peace-making efforts? He exaggerates 'bigly' but in one, maybe two conflicts I think he deserves some credit.
Paul Hansbury
Sep 10, 20255 min read
MR ZELENSKYY GOES TO WASHINGTON
Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.
Paul Hansbury
Aug 18, 20255 min read
IRAN: IS THERE A CASE?
Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.
Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20257 min read
IRAN AND ISRAEL: THREE POINTS
This could get a lot worse, quickly.
Paul Hansbury
Jun 17, 20255 min read
ASPIRATIONS, CLASHES AND TANGLED WEBS
A round up of a week I missed: Operation Spider's Web, the UK Strategic Defence Review, and US meddling in European affairs.
Paul Hansbury
Jun 10, 20257 min read
GERMANY: STEPPING UP OR STEPPING BACK?
Friedrich Merz is getting himself in a twist over Ukraine's wish for Germany's long-range cruise missiles.
Paul Hansbury
May 28, 20253 min read
IS PEACE IN UKRAINE CLOSE?
Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?
Paul Hansbury
Apr 27, 20254 min read
TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?
Paul Hansbury
Mar 15, 20255 min read
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