Who ate all the Minsk pies?

A belated comment on September's joint Russian-Belarusian military exercise, Zapad-2025.

Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

Carlo Masala offers a succinct and engaging future scenario in which NATO responds inadequately to a Russian attack. It is scary because it is highly plausible.

What has Donald Trump achieved with his peace-making efforts? He exaggerates 'bigly' but in one, maybe two conflicts I think he deserves some credit.

Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.

Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

This could get a lot worse, quickly.

A round up of a week I missed: Operation Spider's Web, the UK Strategic Defence Review, and US meddling in European affairs.

Friedrich Merz is getting himself in a twist over Ukraine's wish for Germany's long-range cruise missiles.

Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?

Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

One thousand days of war. The US reportedly agrees to lift restrictions on Ukraine targeting Russia with long-range missiles.

Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.

Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Interpreting a recent escalation along the Belarus-Ukraine border. Is there anything for Ukraine to worry about?

Drones and killer robots. The future of war is neither science fiction nor a computer game, only an ethical and legal dilemma.

With Ukraine's troops still inside Russia, is it using its resources economically? Or has Ukraine overcommitted in its Kursk offensive?

A pacy read from Mikhail Zygar.

The Ukrainian military operation inside the Russian border, which began on Tuesday, is going quite well. What's going on?

A few comments on the UK's Strategic Defence Review, which was announced earlier this week.