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BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (II)
America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Paul Hansbury
4 days ago5 min read
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TRUMP AND UKRAINE: NOT ALL IT SEEMS?
'A big shift' or not? Reading between the lines.
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Paul Hansbury
Sep 245 min read
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MR ZELENSKYY GOES TO WASHINGTON
Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 185 min read
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IS TRUMP TURNING ON PUTIN?
Trump still likes Putin, even if the Russian president is making life harder for the White House to maintain its stance on Ukraine.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 195 min read
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GERMANY: STEPPING UP OR STEPPING BACK?
Friedrich Merz is getting himself in a twist over Ukraine's wish for Germany's long-range cruise missiles.

Paul Hansbury
May 283 min read
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IS PEACE IN UKRAINE CLOSE?
Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 274 min read
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TRUMP FRUSTRATED?
Donald Trump is 'pissed off' with Vladimir Putin. Is a change of tone coming? Or not?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 27 min read
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TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 155 min read
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PART II: WHAT SHOULD EUROPE DO?
Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Paul Hansbury
Feb 229 min read
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PART I: TRUMP'S SHOWDOWN WITH UKRAINE – AND EUROPE
Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?

Paul Hansbury
Feb 206 min read
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BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 276 min read
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ASSASSINS AND THE LAW
On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest

Paul Hansbury
Dec 22, 20245 min read
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WOODWARD'S MANY WARS
Veteran journalist Bob Woodward probes the Joe Biden presidency, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the return of Donald Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 10, 20245 min read
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UKRAINE: 1,000 DAYS OF WAR
One thousand days of war. The US reportedly agrees to lift restrictions on Ukraine targeting Russia with long-range missiles.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 19, 20244 min read
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ON BETRAYAL AND HOPE: UKRAINE'S FUTURE
Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 10, 20248 min read
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TRUMP TRIUMPHANT
Why it's different this time round.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 6, 20246 min read
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WHAT AREN'T THEY TELLING UKRAINE?
Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Paul Hansbury
Sep 19, 20245 min read
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BIDEN AND THE BLAME GAME
I review one of the crop of early reads on the Biden presidency, which we now know will last only one term.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 13, 20248 min read
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THE KURSK GAMBLE: TEN DAYS ON
With Ukraine's troops still inside Russia, is it using its resources economically? Or has Ukraine overcommitted in its Kursk offensive?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 16, 20246 min read
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CRIME AND PEACE
A pacy read from Mikhail Zygar.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 15, 20245 min read
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