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THREE SHORT PIECES: NATO, RUSSIA, AZERBAIJAN
Donald Trump and the NATO summit, a BRICS day out in Rio, and Russia's falling out with Azerbaijan.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 45 min read


THE TRUMP DOCTRINE?
In the wake of US strikes on Iran's nuclear programme, Vice President JD Vance gets carried away.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 255 min read


IRAN: IS THERE A CASE?
Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 217 min read


IRAN AND ISRAEL: THREE POINTS
This could get a lot worse, quickly.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 175 min read


ASPIRATIONS, CLASHES AND TANGLED WEBS
A round up of a week I missed: Operation Spider's Web, the UK Strategic Defence Review, and US meddling in European affairs.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 107 min read


GERMANY: STEPPING UP OR STEPPING BACK?
Friedrich Merz is getting himself in a twist over Ukraine's wish for Germany's long-range cruise missiles.

Paul Hansbury
May 283 min read


BELARUS NOTES #11: LUKASHENKA'S HOT POTATO
A shortage of potatoes in Belarus is leaving people disgruntled.

Paul Hansbury
May 184 min read


MAKING IT EASY FOR AMERICA'S RIVALS
The erosion of America's soft power under President Donald Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 297 min read


IS PEACE IN UKRAINE CLOSE?
Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 274 min read


TARIFF MAN
America hits the self-destruct button. Is there a fail-safe?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 108 min read


TRUMP FRUSTRATED?
Donald Trump is 'pissed off' with Vladimir Putin. Is a change of tone coming? Or not?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 27 min read


THE FACTUALITY WILL SET YOU FREE
Yale historian Timothy Snyder seeks to 'rescue' the word 'freedom' from its 'overuse and abuse' in the US.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 14 min read


BELARUS NOTES #10: PROPAGANDA AND FREEDOM
A social media influencer interviewed Lukashenka. It was not pretty.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 256 min read


PUTIN PUTS TRUMP IN HIS PLACE
Putin asks, Putin gets.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 194 min read


TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 155 min read


TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 811 min read


AN AMERICAN DISGRACE
Trying to make sense of the slanging match in the Oval Office yesterday.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 15 min read


PART II: WHAT SHOULD EUROPE DO?
Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Paul Hansbury
Feb 229 min read


PART I: TRUMP'S SHOWDOWN WITH UKRAINE – AND EUROPE
Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?

Paul Hansbury
Feb 206 min read


UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 136 min read
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