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REVISIONIST AMERICA? TRUMP TURNS AGAINST EUROPE
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Paul Hansbury
2 days ago6 min read
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ONE OF THE PRESIDENT'S MEN (PART II)
Steve Witkoff. A man with a dubious plan and a Gulfstream jet.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 306 min read
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BARGAINING IN WARTIME (PART I)
Applying some bargaining theory to negotiations and peace plans.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 286 min read
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PEACE: HASTE MAKES WASTE
A few extra thoughts on the dubious peace plan.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 224 min read
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BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (I)
A belated comment on September's joint Russian-Belarusian military exercise, Zapad-2025.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 215 min read
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MOLDOVA, AGAIN
Moldovans go to the polls next Sunday, in a parliamentary vote that could introduce greater instability to the country.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 215 min read
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WHAT'S GOING ON WITH TURKMENISTAN?
The US has taken increased interest in Turkmenistan recently. In Russia officials watch on nervously.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 303 min read
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THREE SHORT PIECES: NATO, RUSSIA, AZERBAIJAN
Donald Trump and the NATO summit, a BRICS day out in Rio, and Russia's falling out with Azerbaijan.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 45 min read
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ASPIRATIONS, CLASHES AND TANGLED WEBS
A round up of a week I missed: Operation Spider's Web, the UK Strategic Defence Review, and US meddling in European affairs.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 107 min read
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MAKING IT EASY FOR AMERICA'S RIVALS
The erosion of America's soft power under President Donald Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 297 min read
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TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 155 min read
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TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 811 min read
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PART I: TRUMP'S SHOWDOWN WITH UKRAINE – AND EUROPE
Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?

Paul Hansbury
Feb 206 min read
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UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 136 min read
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BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 276 min read
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ASSASSINS AND THE LAW
On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest

Paul Hansbury
Dec 22, 20245 min read
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SYRIA LEAVES RUSSIA IN A QUANDARY
The fall of Assad has ramifications for Russia's power projection in the Middle East.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20244 min read
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THE DICTATORS' BUSINESS
Anne Applebaum's latest book offers a breezy tour of Dictatorland. And it's a chilling read.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 1, 20246 min read
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BALLOT BOX BATTLES: MOLDOVA AND GEORGIA
Moldova's voting threw up some surprises: what can we expect in the presidential run off? Meanwhile, Georgians go to the polls this weekend.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 22, 20245 min read
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MOLDOVANS VOTE ON THEIR FUTURE
Moldova has a presidential election and a referendum this weekend. Russia and the EU are each eager to see a different result.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 17, 20245 min read
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