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TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?
Paul Hansbury
Mar 155 min read
47 views
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TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?
Paul Hansbury
Mar 811 min read
182 views
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PART I: TRUMP'S SHOWDOWN WITH UKRAINE – AND EUROPE
Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?
Paul Hansbury
Feb 206 min read
93 views
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UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.
Paul Hansbury
Feb 136 min read
78 views
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BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.
Paul Hansbury
Jan 276 min read
38 views
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ASSASSINS AND THE LAW
On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest
Paul Hansbury
Dec 22, 20245 min read
27 views
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SYRIA LEAVES RUSSIA IN A QUANDARY
The fall of Assad has ramifications for Russia's power projection in the Middle East.
Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20244 min read
56 views
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THE DICTATORS' BUSINESS
Anne Applebaum's latest book offers a breezy tour of Dictatorland. And it's a chilling read.
Paul Hansbury
Nov 1, 20246 min read
64 views
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BALLOT BOX BATTLES: MOLDOVA AND GEORGIA
Moldova's voting threw up some surprises: what can we expect in the presidential run off? Meanwhile, Georgians go to the polls this weekend.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 22, 20245 min read
30 views
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MOLDOVANS VOTE ON THEIR FUTURE
Moldova has a presidential election and a referendum this weekend. Russia and the EU are each eager to see a different result.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 17, 20245 min read
73 views
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RUSSIA AND IRAN: AN ADDENDUM
A postscript to my previous post. Plus a comment on a submission to the International Criminal Court about Belarus and Georgia's election.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 15, 20246 min read
34 views
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RUSSIA AND IRAN: A DEVILISH PARTNERSHIP
Four reasons why the Iran-Russia relationship is the partnership western states should fear the most at present.
Paul Hansbury
Oct 6, 20248 min read
138 views
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WHAT AREN'T THEY TELLING UKRAINE?
Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?
Paul Hansbury
Sep 19, 20245 min read
379 views
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BIDEN'S FOREIGN POLICY LEGACY
Ahead of tonight's debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, a quick assessment of the Biden administration's foreign policy record.
Paul Hansbury
Sep 10, 20246 min read
93 views
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FRANCE VS. TELEGRAM: IS FREE SPEECH AT RISK?
The arrest of Telegram CEO Pavel Durov has prompted accusations of a curb on free speech. To my mind, the debate should be about privacy.
Paul Hansbury
Aug 27, 20246 min read
176 views
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CRIME AND PEACE
A pacy read from Mikhail Zygar.
Paul Hansbury
Aug 15, 20245 min read
24 views
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ARGUING WITH ORBAN
Viktor Orban continues to complicate EU policymaking on Ukraine and Russia. What is to be done?
Paul Hansbury
Aug 10, 20244 min read
39 views
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SPACE RACE 2.0
Great power competition in space. The militarisation of space should concern us all, as we rely on satellites in so much of our daily lives.
Paul Hansbury
Aug 8, 20245 min read
56 views
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FAR FROM PEACE
From Putin's phoney peace offer to his meeting with Kim Jong-Un, there is little cause for optimism. But you can often see what you want.
Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20247 min read
19 views
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WAR WHISPERS
Is Russia still advancing in Ukraine? Vladimir Putin has been busy but don't believe everything you hear.
Paul Hansbury
Jun 4, 20244 min read
22 views
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