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A MOST DANGEROUS MAN
January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Jan 208 min read


VENEZUELA, SINKING
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20256 min read


BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (II)
America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 23, 20255 min read


AMERICA'S ASIAN ALLIES
Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 16, 20255 min read


MOLDOVA, AGAIN
Moldovans go to the polls next Sunday, in a parliamentary vote that could introduce greater instability to the country.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 21, 20255 min read


THE ALASKA TALKS
A little more about the Trump-Putin Alaska summit happening today. Dashed off over lunch.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 15, 20256 min read


'WHAT'S IN ALASKA?'
Jangled nerves surround Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin's summit in Alaska, with many people fearing Trump will look to sell-out Ukraine. Is the push for peace actually going anywhere?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 12, 20255 min read


THREE SHORT PIECES: NATO, RUSSIA, AZERBAIJAN
Donald Trump and the NATO summit, a BRICS day out in Rio, and Russia's falling out with Azerbaijan.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 4, 20255 min read


THE TRUMP DOCTRINE?
In the wake of US strikes on Iran's nuclear programme, Vice President JD Vance gets carried away.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 25, 20255 min read


IRAN: IS THERE A CASE?
Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20257 min read


IRAN AND ISRAEL: THREE POINTS
This could get a lot worse, quickly.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 17, 20255 min read


TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 8, 202511 min read


PART II: WHAT SHOULD EUROPE DO?
Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Paul Hansbury
Feb 22, 20259 min read


UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 13, 20256 min read


BRITAIN AND AMERICA: TROUBLE BREWING?
Trying to make sense of the kind of relationship the UK will have with the US in the next four years.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 2, 202510 min read


ASSASSINS AND THE LAW
On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest

Paul Hansbury
Dec 22, 20245 min read


BALLOT BOX BATTLES: MOLDOVA AND GEORGIA
Moldova's voting threw up some surprises: what can we expect in the presidential run off? Meanwhile, Georgians go to the polls this weekend.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 22, 20245 min read


MOLDOVANS VOTE ON THEIR FUTURE
Moldova has a presidential election and a referendum this weekend. Russia and the EU are each eager to see a different result.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 17, 20245 min read


RUSSIA AND IRAN: AN ADDENDUM
A postscript to my previous post. Plus a comment on a submission to the International Criminal Court about Belarus and Georgia's election.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 15, 20246 min read


RUSSIA AND IRAN: A DEVILISH PARTNERSHIP
Four reasons why the Iran-Russia relationship is the partnership western states should fear the most at present.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 6, 20248 min read
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