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BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (II)
America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Paul Hansbury
4 days ago5 min read
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AMERICA'S ASIAN ALLIES
Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 165 min read
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MOLDOVA, AGAIN
Moldovans go to the polls next Sunday, in a parliamentary vote that could introduce greater instability to the country.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 215 min read
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THE ALASKA TALKS
A little more about the Trump-Putin Alaska summit happening today. Dashed off over lunch.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 156 min read
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'WHAT'S IN ALASKA?'
Jangled nerves surround Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin's summit in Alaska, with many people fearing Trump will look to sell-out Ukraine. Is the push for peace actually going anywhere?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 125 min read
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THREE SHORT PIECES: NATO, RUSSIA, AZERBAIJAN
Donald Trump and the NATO summit, a BRICS day out in Rio, and Russia's falling out with Azerbaijan.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 45 min read
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THE TRUMP DOCTRINE?
In the wake of US strikes on Iran's nuclear programme, Vice President JD Vance gets carried away.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 255 min read
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IRAN: IS THERE A CASE?
Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 217 min read
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IRAN AND ISRAEL: THREE POINTS
This could get a lot worse, quickly.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 175 min read
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TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 811 min read
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PART II: WHAT SHOULD EUROPE DO?
Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Paul Hansbury
Feb 229 min read
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UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 136 min read
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BRITAIN AND AMERICA: TROUBLE BREWING?
Trying to make sense of the kind of relationship the UK will have with the US in the next four years.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 210 min read
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ASSASSINS AND THE LAW
On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest

Paul Hansbury
Dec 22, 20245 min read
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BALLOT BOX BATTLES: MOLDOVA AND GEORGIA
Moldova's voting threw up some surprises: what can we expect in the presidential run off? Meanwhile, Georgians go to the polls this weekend.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 22, 20245 min read
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MOLDOVANS VOTE ON THEIR FUTURE
Moldova has a presidential election and a referendum this weekend. Russia and the EU are each eager to see a different result.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 17, 20245 min read
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RUSSIA AND IRAN: AN ADDENDUM
A postscript to my previous post. Plus a comment on a submission to the International Criminal Court about Belarus and Georgia's election.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 15, 20246 min read
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RUSSIA AND IRAN: A DEVILISH PARTNERSHIP
Four reasons why the Iran-Russia relationship is the partnership western states should fear the most at present.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 6, 20248 min read
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AMERICA AND CHINA: TWO WAYS FORWARD
Beneath the veneer of bipartisan consensus in the US, the Democrats and Republicans have different positions on China.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 23, 20246 min read
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WHAT AREN'T THEY TELLING UKRAINE?
Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Paul Hansbury
Sep 19, 20245 min read
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