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WILL EUROPE FOLLOW U.S. LEAD?
US-Belarus negotiations and the latest prisoner releases, and what it means for European policy.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 18, 20255 min read
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BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (II)
America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 23, 20255 min read
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BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (I)
A belated comment on September's joint Russian-Belarusian military exercise, Zapad-2025.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 21, 20255 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #12: U.S. DIPLOMACY
A US delegation went to Minsk. It gave Lukashenka a photo opportunity, the US something to crow about, and caused a headache for everyone else.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 20258 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #11: LUKASHENKA'S HOT POTATO
A shortage of potatoes in Belarus is leaving people disgruntled.

Paul Hansbury
May 18, 20254 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #10: PROPAGANDA AND FREEDOM
A social media influencer interviewed Lukashenka. It was not pretty.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 25, 20256 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #9: BALLOTS AND BULLETS
Belarus's dictator hopes next weekend's election will allow him to re-legitimise his grasp on power. Little suggests that will happen.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 19, 20256 min read
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THE DICTATORS' BUSINESS
Anne Applebaum's latest book offers a breezy tour of Dictatorland. And it's a chilling read.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 1, 20246 min read
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RUSSIA AND IRAN: AN ADDENDUM
A postscript to my previous post. Plus a comment on a submission to the International Criminal Court about Belarus and Georgia's election.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 15, 20246 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #8: TROOPS ON THE UKRAINE BORDER
Interpreting a recent escalation along the Belarus-Ukraine border. Is there anything for Ukraine to worry about?

Paul Hansbury
Sep 3, 20244 min read
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FRANCE VS. TELEGRAM: IS FREE SPEECH AT RISK?
The arrest of Telegram CEO Pavel Durov has prompted accusations of a curb on free speech. To my mind, the debate should be about privacy.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 27, 20246 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #7: MINSK AND SHANGHAI
Belarus is the first European state to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation; Lukashenka's 30 years; and Tsikhanouskaya visits the UK.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 21, 20245 min read
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WHAT DOES THE UK ELECTION MEAN FOR UKRAINE AND BELARUS?
The United Kingdom goes to the polls this week. Does the result matter at all for Ukrainians and Belarusians?

Paul Hansbury
Jul 3, 20246 min read
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GEORGIA ON THE BRINK
Georgian protests, Lord Cameron in Ukraine, a scathing US view of the UK army, Belarusian informants... What caught my attention this week.

Paul Hansbury
May 4, 20246 min read
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REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #4: SPORT AND POLITICS
Why I changed my mind about the relationship between sport and politics, and (reluctantly) support a ban on Russian and Belarusian athletes.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 21, 20245 min read
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THE BRUTALISATION OF RUSSIA
A few remarks on last month's terrorist attack in Moscow. The treatment of the four suspects is part of the brutalisation of Russia.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 2, 20247 min read
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TWO COUNTRIES, TWO DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGES
Both Ukraine and Belarus have long-standing population worries, which the crises of recent years have exacerbated.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 21, 20245 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #6: THE NO VOTE
A few notes on last weekend's elections in Belarus, and some Belarus-related events I've been involved in this past week.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 3, 20246 min read
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IS THE CSTO MORE THAN A PAPER TIGER?
Belarus hosted a CSTO summit in Minsk last week. Fractures between members of the military bloc are hard to paper over however.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 30, 20235 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #5: TO HAVE AND HAVE NOT
A recent decree will make many Belarusians stateless. The opposition is trying to convince others its New Belarus passport is the solution.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 18, 20235 min read
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