Who ate all the Minsk pies?

January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Follow the silences, always.

A belated comment on September's joint Russian-Belarusian military exercise, Zapad-2025.

Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

Donald Trump and the NATO summit, a BRICS day out in Rio, and Russia's falling out with Azerbaijan.

In the wake of US strikes on Iran's nuclear programme, Vice President JD Vance gets carried away.

Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

This could get a lot worse, quickly.

A round up of a week I missed: Operation Spider's Web, the UK Strategic Defence Review, and US meddling in European affairs.

Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?

Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

On the legitimacy of assassinations. Plus a few thoughts on prisoner exchanges amid concerns foreign citizens are seen as targets for arrest

One thousand days of war. The US reportedly agrees to lift restrictions on Ukraine targeting Russia with long-range missiles.

A postscript to my previous post. Plus a comment on a submission to the International Criminal Court about Belarus and Georgia's election.

Four reasons why the Iran-Russia relationship is the partnership western states should fear the most at present.

Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?