Who ate all the Minsk pies?

January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

The concluding part of this blog looks at law and power politics - and why I think both Trump and the Europeans are wrong.

US-Belarus negotiations and the latest prisoner releases, and what it means for European policy.

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

A quick appraisal of recent political developments in Georgia. And a short postscript on the 28-point plans (now we have two of them).

On the leaked 28-point 'peace plan' and why it is an insult to Europeans. It's OK to be angry. FREE TO READ

Moldovans go to the polls next Sunday, in a parliamentary vote that could introduce greater instability to the country.

A US delegation went to Minsk. It gave Lukashenka a photo opportunity, the US something to crow about, and caused a headache for everyone else.

America hits the self-destruct button. Is there a fail-safe?

Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Trying to make sense of the kind of relationship the UK will have with the US in the next four years.

Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.

Moldova's voting threw up some surprises: what can we expect in the presidential run off? Meanwhile, Georgians go to the polls this weekend.

Moldova has a presidential election and a referendum this weekend. Russia and the EU are each eager to see a different result.

Viktor Orban continues to complicate EU policymaking on Ukraine and Russia. What is to be done?

From Putin's phoney peace offer to his meeting with Kim Jong-Un, there is little cause for optimism. But you can often see what you want.

Vladimir Putin appears confident the war in Ukraine is turning in his favour: he could yet be hoisted with his own petard, however.

Open Democracy published a ‘rebuttal’ to my recent article for them. I knew that a response was coming and I welcome the challenge to the...

I have some sympathy for Emmanuel Macron. He no doubt saw an opportunity in his state visit to China earlier this month, an opportunity...