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IRAN: IS THERE A CASE?
Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20257 min read


IRAN AND ISRAEL: THREE POINTS
This could get a lot worse, quickly.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 17, 20255 min read


MAKING IT EASY FOR AMERICA'S RIVALS
The erosion of America's soft power under President Donald Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 29, 20257 min read


IS PEACE IN UKRAINE CLOSE?
Following Trump and Zelenskyy's meeting in St Peter's Basilica, can we expect quick progress on peace talks?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 27, 20254 min read


TARIFF MAN
America hits the self-destruct button. Is there a fail-safe?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 10, 20258 min read


TRUMP FRUSTRATED?
Donald Trump is 'pissed off' with Vladimir Putin. Is a change of tone coming? Or not?

Paul Hansbury
Apr 2, 20257 min read


THE FACTUALITY WILL SET YOU FREE
Yale historian Timothy Snyder seeks to 'rescue' the word 'freedom' from its 'overuse and abuse' in the US.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 1, 20254 min read


PUTIN PUTS TRUMP IN HIS PLACE
Putin asks, Putin gets.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 19, 20254 min read


TO CEASEFIRE OR NOT TO CEASEFIRE
Ukraine agreed to plans for a 30-day ceasefire. Vladimir Putin demurred. How can we understand Putin's position?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 15, 20255 min read


TRUMP'S CARDS
Will Trump's personal ambitions clash with the architects of US strategy? Is that strategy founded on good premises?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 8, 202511 min read


AN AMERICAN DISGRACE
Trying to make sense of the slanging match in the Oval Office yesterday.

Paul Hansbury
Mar 1, 20255 min read


PART II: WHAT SHOULD EUROPE DO?
Three millennia ago the Egyptian king Rameses II signed a peace treaty with the Hittite Empire after protracted warfare. The two kings inscribed the treaty on a silver plaque. Two versions of the agreement existed thereafter – the Hittite king went away with a text that said the Egyptians had sued for peace, and the Egyptians' copy said the opposite. One might think an event so long ago irrelevant. Donald Trump, however, evidently thinks he is acting in accordance with time h

Paul Hansbury
Feb 22, 20259 min read


PART I: TRUMP'S SHOWDOWN WITH UKRAINE – AND EUROPE
Donald Trump's war of words with Volodomyr Zelenskyy. Is the US about to cut a deal about Ukraine's future without consulting Ukrainians?

Paul Hansbury
Feb 20, 20256 min read


UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS: HAS TRUMP REVEALED HIS HAND?
Trump and Putin spoke on the phone. The US president may be carrying on different negotiations from the ones reported. A contrarian's view.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 13, 20256 min read


BACK TO THE FUTURE: PUTIN AND TRUMP 2.0
In the past Donald Trump's praise for Putin was often interpreted as fealty. His current rhetoric suggests a different interpretation.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 27, 20256 min read


WOODWARD'S MANY WARS
Veteran journalist Bob Woodward probes the Joe Biden presidency, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the return of Donald Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 10, 20245 min read


ON BETRAYAL AND HOPE: UKRAINE'S FUTURE
Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 10, 20248 min read


TRUMP TRIUMPHANT
Why it's different this time round.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 6, 20246 min read


AMERICA AND CHINA: TWO WAYS FORWARD
Beneath the veneer of bipartisan consensus in the US, the Democrats and Republicans have different positions on China.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 23, 20246 min read


ARGUING WITH ORBAN
Viktor Orban continues to complicate EU policymaking on Ukraine and Russia. What is to be done?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 10, 20244 min read
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