top of page


ON BETRAYAL AND HOPE: UKRAINE'S FUTURE
Many think a betrayal is coming. Ever the contrarian, I offer three reasons why the US and its allies might not abandon Ukraine under Trump.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 10, 20248 min read
Â
Â
Â


TRUMP TRIUMPHANT
Why it's different this time round.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 6, 20246 min read
Â
Â
Â


WHAT AREN'T THEY TELLING UKRAINE?
Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Paul Hansbury
Sep 19, 20245 min read
Â
Â
Â


BIDEN AND THE BLAME GAME
I review one of the crop of early reads on the Biden presidency, which we now know will last only one term.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 13, 20248 min read
Â
Â
Â


BELARUS NOTES #8: TROOPS ON THE UKRAINE BORDER
Interpreting a recent escalation along the Belarus-Ukraine border. Is there anything for Ukraine to worry about?

Paul Hansbury
Sep 3, 20244 min read
Â
Â
Â


DRONE ATTACK! WHAT WILL FUTURE WARS LOOK LIKE?
Drones and killer robots. The future of war is neither science fiction nor a computer game, only an ethical and legal dilemma.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 22, 20245 min read
Â
Â
Â


THE KURSK GAMBLE: TEN DAYS ON
With Ukraine's troops still inside Russia, is it using its resources economically? Or has Ukraine overcommitted in its Kursk offensive?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 16, 20246 min read
Â
Â
Â


CRIME AND PEACE
A pacy read from Mikhail Zygar.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 15, 20245 min read
Â
Â
Â


ARGUING WITH ORBAN
Viktor Orban continues to complicate EU policymaking on Ukraine and Russia. What is to be done?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 10, 20244 min read
Â
Â
Â


THE KURSK GAMBLE AND OTHER UKRAINE WAR UPDATES
The Ukrainian military operation inside the Russian border, which began on Tuesday, is going quite well. What's going on?

Paul Hansbury
Aug 9, 20244 min read
Â
Â
Â


PARSING JUDGEMENT #3: ON NATO AT 75
As NATO marks its 75-year anniversary, this new volume from Sten Rynning is a fitting appraisal of 'the world's most powerful alliance'.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 16, 20248 min read
Â
Â
Â


WHAT DOES THE UK ELECTION MEAN FOR UKRAINE AND BELARUS?
The United Kingdom goes to the polls this week. Does the result matter at all for Ukrainians and Belarusians?

Paul Hansbury
Jul 3, 20246 min read
Â
Â
Â


FAR FROM PEACE
From Putin's phoney peace offer to his meeting with Kim Jong-Un, there is little cause for optimism. But you can often see what you want.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 21, 20247 min read
Â
Â
Â


TARGET, RUSSIA!
Ukraine's military is being forced to fight with one hand behind its back. Is it time to relax restrictions on its use of donated weapons?

Paul Hansbury
May 29, 20245 min read
Â
Â
Â


GEORGIA ON THE BRINK
Georgian protests, Lord Cameron in Ukraine, a scathing US view of the UK army, Belarusian informants... What caught my attention this week.

Paul Hansbury
May 4, 20246 min read
Â
Â
Â


THE SINO–SOVIET SPIRIT
A few notes on the Washington–Beijing–Moscow strategic triangle of today.

Paul Hansbury
May 1, 20247 min read
Â
Â
Â


ZELENSKYY'S CHOICE
Recent talk of a rift between Ukraine's president and the commander–in–chief of the armed forces was not scuttlebutt.

Paul Hansbury
Feb 6, 20244 min read
Â
Â
Â


PEACE: DEAL OR NO DEAL?
Claims that Boris Johnson scuppered a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine last year aren't new, and probably aren't true.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 24, 20245 min read
Â
Â
Â


OUTLOOK FOR THE WAR IN UKRAINE IN 2024
Vladimir Putin appears confident the war in Ukraine is turning in his favour: he could yet be hoisted with his own petard, however.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 21, 20235 min read
Â
Â
Â


A NOTE ON HENRY KISSINGER (1923–2023)
The death of Henry Kissinger came at a watershed moment for political realism in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 15, 20235 min read
Â
Â
Â
bottom of page