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TRUMP'S DODGY DEALS
President Trump is buying oil from Russia and potash from Belarus. So much for western unity on sanctions. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
16 hours ago4 min read


AT THE GENERAL ASSEMBLY
A quick round up. Donald Trump's meeting with Andy Burnham, the US-Denmark-Greenland agreement, and some bluster about Iran. FREE TO READ.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 234 min read


BURNHAM'S RUSSIA CHALLENGE
Britain's new prime minister pledges to stand by Ukraine. That brings another responsibility – dealing wisely with Russian hostility. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Aug 285 min read


TUG-OF-WAR OVER ARMENIA
A belated comment on Armenia's election on 7 June. And I cannot help myself from a comment on Trump's provisional Iran agreement. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
Jun 195 min read


PUTIN'S PIPE DREAMS
There is still no deal between Russia and China on the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline. What does this tell us about their relationship? SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
May 275 min read


TRUMP, XI, AND THE COURSE OF HISTORY
China's Xi Jinping cautioned US President Donald Trump about the Thucydides' trap. A quick comment on hegemonic war. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
May 196 min read


THE COMEDY OF ERRORS
Trump, Iran, Russia, China. Just don't pretend it makes any sense. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Apr 108 min read


THE END OF NATO?
How Europe must respond if Trump takes the United States out of NATO. Three policy recommendations. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
Apr 710 min read


CALAMITY DON'S WAR
Trump still seems to have little idea what he is doing in Iran, other than alienating friends and aiding foes. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Mar 216 min read


TERROR IN TEHRAN
Does he know what he is doing?
FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Mar 58 min read


A MOST DANGEROUS MAN
January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Jan 208 min read


LAW AND DISORDER (PART II)
The concluding part of this blog looks at law and power politics - and why I think both Trump and the Europeans are wrong.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 166 min read


LAW AND DISORDER (PART I)
What are the sources of international law? Does it have any substance and clout in a dog-eat-dog world?

Paul Hansbury
Jan 145 min read


VENEZUELA, SINKING
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 12, 20256 min read


REVISIONIST AMERICA? TRUMP TURNS AGAINST EUROPE
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 11, 20256 min read


ONE OF THE PRESIDENT'S MEN (PART II)
Steve Witkoff. A man with a dubious plan and a Gulfstream jet.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 30, 20256 min read


BARGAINING IN WARTIME (PART I)
Applying some bargaining theory to negotiations and peace plans.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 28, 20256 min read


PEACE: HASTE MAKES WASTE
A few extra thoughts on the dubious peace plan.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 22, 20254 min read


TRUMP'S DIKTAT TO EUROPE
On the leaked 28-point 'peace plan' and why it is an insult to Europeans. It's OK to be angry. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Nov 21, 20255 min read


TRUMP MEETS XI: "12 OUT OF 10" AND ALL THAT
Follow the silences, always.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 31, 20255 min read
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