Who ate all the Minsk pies?

Trump, Iran, Russia, China. Just don't pretend it makes any sense. FREE TO READ

How Europe must respond if Trump takes the United States out of NATO. Three policy recommendations. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Trump still seems to have little idea what he is doing in Iran, other than alienating friends and aiding foes. FREE TO READ

Does he know what he is doing? FREE TO READ

January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

The concluding part of this blog looks at law and power politics - and why I think both Trump and the Europeans are wrong.

What are the sources of international law? Does it have any substance and clout in a dog-eat-dog world?

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and the western hemisphere.

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Steve Witkoff. A man with a dubious plan and a Gulfstream jet.

Applying some bargaining theory to negotiations and peace plans.

A few extra thoughts on the dubious peace plan.

On the leaked 28-point 'peace plan' and why it is an insult to Europeans. It's OK to be angry. FREE TO READ

Follow the silences, always.

America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

Carlo Masala offers a succinct and engaging future scenario in which NATO responds inadequately to a Russian attack. It is scary because it is highly plausible.

'A big shift' or not? Reading between the lines. THIS POST IS FREE TO READ

What has Donald Trump achieved with his peace-making efforts? He exaggerates 'bigly' but in one, maybe two conflicts I think he deserves some credit.

Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.