Who ate all the Minsk pies?

There is still no deal between Russia and China on the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline. What does this tell us about their relationship? SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

China's Xi Jinping cautioned US President Donald Trump about the Thucydides' trap. A quick comment on hegemonic war. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

After 16 years in power, Hungary's Viktor Orban is gone (for now). Is Russian influence in central and eastern Europe on the wane? SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Trump, Iran, Russia, China. Just don't pretend it makes any sense. FREE TO READ

How Europe must respond if Trump takes the United States out of NATO. Three policy recommendations. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Lukashenka travelled to North Korea and presented Kim with an assault rifle. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Trump still seems to have little idea what he is doing in Iran, other than alienating friends and aiding foes. FREE TO READ

Does he know what he is doing? FREE TO READ

January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

The concluding part of this blog looks at law and power politics - and why I think both Trump and the Europeans are wrong.

What are the sources of international law? Does it have any substance and clout in a dog-eat-dog world?

US-Belarus negotiations and the latest prisoner releases, and what it means for European policy.

The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Follow the silences, always.

America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

'A big shift' or not? Reading between the lines. THIS POST IS FREE TO READ

The US has taken increased interest in Turkmenistan recently. In Russia officials watch on nervously.

Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.

Trump still likes Putin, even if the Russian president is making life harder for the White House to maintain its stance on Ukraine.