top of page


RUSSIA'S MIXED FORTUNES (PART I)
After 16 years in power, Hungary's Viktor Orban is gone (for now). Is Russian influence in central and eastern Europe on the wane? SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
Apr 284 min read
Â
Â
Â


THE COMEDY OF ERRORS
Trump, Iran, Russia, China. Just don't pretend it makes any sense. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Apr 108 min read
Â
Â
Â


THE END OF NATO?
How Europe must respond if Trump takes the United States out of NATO. Three policy recommendations. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
Apr 710 min read
Â
Â
Â


SONS OF A GUN
Lukashenka travelled to North Korea and presented Kim with an assault rifle. SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Paul Hansbury
Apr 24 min read
Â
Â
Â


CALAMITY DON'S WAR
Trump still seems to have little idea what he is doing in Iran, other than alienating friends and aiding foes. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Mar 216 min read
Â
Â
Â


TERROR IN TEHRAN
Does he know what he is doing?
FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Mar 58 min read
Â
Â
Â


A MOST DANGEROUS MAN
January blues. At the moment the US, not Russia, is the greatest threat to NATO as the row over Greenland heats up. FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Jan 208 min read
Â
Â
Â


LAW AND DISORDER (PART II)
The concluding part of this blog looks at law and power politics - and why I think both Trump and the Europeans are wrong.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 166 min read
Â
Â
Â


LAW AND DISORDER (PART I)
What are the sources of international law? Does it have any substance and clout in a dog-eat-dog world?

Paul Hansbury
Jan 145 min read
Â
Â
Â


WILL EUROPE FOLLOW U.S. LEAD?
US-Belarus negotiations and the latest prisoner releases, and what it means for European policy.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 18, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


REVISIONIST AMERICA? TRUMP TURNS AGAINST EUROPE
The United States' 2025 National Security Strategy and Europe.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 11, 20256 min read
Â
Â
Â


TRUMP MEETS XI: "12 OUT OF 10" AND ALL THAT
Follow the silences, always.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 31, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


BELARUS NOTES: MISDIRECTIONS (II)
America considers letting Lukashenka get up off the naughty step. A comment on Belarus-US relations and sanctions.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 23, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


AMERICA'S ASIAN ALLIES
Why Trump's policy towards US allies in the Asia-Pacific may prove his greatest act of self-harm.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 16, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


TRUMP AND UKRAINE: NOT ALL IT SEEMS?
'A big shift' or not? Reading between the lines.
THIS POST IS FREE TO READ

Paul Hansbury
Sep 24, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


WHAT'S GOING ON WITH TURKMENISTAN?
The US has taken increased interest in Turkmenistan recently. In Russia officials watch on nervously.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 30, 20253 min read
Â
Â
Â


MR ZELENSKYY GOES TO WASHINGTON
Following Vladimir Putin's 'red carpet' treatment in Alaska, it is now Volodomyr Zelenskyy's turn to meet the US president.

Paul Hansbury
Aug 18, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


IS TRUMP TURNING ON PUTIN?
Trump still likes Putin, even if the Russian president is making life harder for the White House to maintain its stance on Ukraine.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 19, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â


BELARUS NOTES #12: U.S. DIPLOMACY
A US delegation went to Minsk. It gave Lukashenka a photo opportunity, the US something to crow about, and caused a headache for everyone else.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 20258 min read
Â
Â
Â


THE TRUMP DOCTRINE?
In the wake of US strikes on Iran's nuclear programme, Vice President JD Vance gets carried away.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 25, 20255 min read
Â
Â
Â
bottom of page