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THE TRUMP DOCTRINE?
In the wake of US strikes on Iran's nuclear programme, Vice President JD Vance gets carried away.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 255 min read
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IRAN: IS THERE A CASE?
Will the US join Israel's attacks on Iran? Probably. Is there a legal case for the strikes? Probably not.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 217 min read
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IRAN AND ISRAEL: THREE POINTS
This could get a lot worse, quickly.

Paul Hansbury
Jun 175 min read
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RUSSIA AND IRAN: AN ADDENDUM
A postscript to my previous post. Plus a comment on a submission to the International Criminal Court about Belarus and Georgia's election.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 15, 20246 min read
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WHAT AREN'T THEY TELLING UKRAINE?
Behind the rhetoric, what does the US really want to see happen to end the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Paul Hansbury
Sep 19, 20245 min read
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TARGET, RUSSIA!
Ukraine's military is being forced to fight with one hand behind its back. Is it time to relax restrictions on its use of donated weapons?

Paul Hansbury
May 29, 20245 min read
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RUSSIA POSTURING, CHINA CROWING
There were examples of Russian heavy-handedness and Chinese subtlety last week. Has Xi Jinping been learning from Napoleon?

Paul Hansbury
May 11, 20245 min read
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PUTIN TALKS... AND TALKS
Vladimir Putin, warning NATO against deploying troops to Ukraine, says Russia is prepared for nuclear war. Is NATO ready?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 5, 20246 min read
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THE OLD MEN AND THE BOMB
Forty years ago this week the world came close to nuclear war. NATO's Able Archer exercise very nearly went very wrong.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 7, 20235 min read
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REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #3: NUCLEAR WEAPONS
I am not usually one to throw caution to the wind, but I am rethinking my position on the rhetoric round nuclear weapons.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 25, 202310 min read
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QUICK NOTES ON THE NATO SUMMIT
NATO’s annual summit has been and gone. The national delegations have returned to their home countries, dispersing like a bag of marbles...

Paul Hansbury
Jul 13, 20235 min read
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NATO, BELARUS AND THE RUSSIAN NUKES
When NATO meets in Vilnius for its annual summit next week, Ukraine will rightly dominate the agenda. The lack of consensus within NATO abou

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 20237 min read
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BELARUS NOTES #1: NUKES
Last weekend Vladimir Putin announced that Russia will move tactical nuclear weapons (TNWs) to Belarusian territory. Meanwhile,...

Paul Hansbury
Mar 31, 20236 min read
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