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TARGET, RUSSIA!
Ukraine's military is being forced to fight with one hand behind its back. Is it time to relax restrictions on its use of donated weapons?

Paul Hansbury
May 29, 20245 min read


RUSSIA POSTURING, CHINA CROWING
There were examples of Russian heavy-handedness and Chinese subtlety last week. Has Xi Jinping been learning from Napoleon?

Paul Hansbury
May 11, 20245 min read


THE SINO–SOVIET SPIRIT
A few notes on the Washington–Beijing–Moscow strategic triangle of today.

Paul Hansbury
May 1, 20247 min read


REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #4: SPORT AND POLITICS
Why I changed my mind about the relationship between sport and politics, and (reluctantly) support a ban on Russian and Belarusian athletes.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 21, 20245 min read


WHOSE MAN IN HAVANA?
A new investigation pins a series of mysterious 'attacks' against US diplomatic staff on Russia's military intelligence. A few comments.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 11, 20245 min read


THE BRUTALISATION OF RUSSIA
A few remarks on last month's terrorist attack in Moscow. The treatment of the four suspects is part of the brutalisation of Russia.

Paul Hansbury
Apr 2, 20247 min read


RUSSIA VOTES
Russia's election had added significance against the backdrop of war. But why does Russia bother with such an obviously undemocratic vote?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 24, 20246 min read


PUTIN TALKS... AND TALKS
Vladimir Putin, warning NATO against deploying troops to Ukraine, says Russia is prepared for nuclear war. Is NATO ready?

Paul Hansbury
Mar 5, 20246 min read


PARSING JUDGEMENT #2: RIGHTS AND WRONGS IN RUSSIA POLICY
Thomas Graham's new book on the United States' Russia policy will rile many readers, but it's a well-informed appraisal. Here's my review.

Paul Hansbury
Jan 3, 20245 min read


OUTLOOK FOR THE WAR IN UKRAINE IN 2024
Vladimir Putin appears confident the war in Ukraine is turning in his favour: he could yet be hoisted with his own petard, however.

Paul Hansbury
Dec 21, 20235 min read


THE RUSSIANS ARE EYELESS IN GAZA TOO
I've heard some pretty off-the-wall claims over the past week. The authors of this article think the fact that Hamas attacked Israelis on...

Paul Hansbury
Oct 16, 20234 min read


NOTEBOOK (SEPTEMBER – PART I)
One of the biggest challenges since I started this blog is that there is so much going on in, or otherwise affecting, eastern Europe and...

Paul Hansbury
Sep 23, 20234 min read


QUICK NOTES ON THE PUTIN—KIM SUMMIT
With his collar suit and Mao-styled haircut, Kim Yong-Un conjures an image of China... Frankly, I think the summit's significance is slight.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 13, 20235 min read


PRIGOZHIN’S DEATH: THE BELARUS ANGLE
After Yevgeny Prigozhin’s mercenaries marched on Moscow in late June, and then dramatically backed down, one thing was clear – there was...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 24, 20235 min read


TALES OF UNREST: WHY RUSSIA MIGHT PLUNGE INTO NIGER
A few days ago, I wrote that Russia was unlikely to involve itself in the Niger situation, despite Yevgeny Prigozhin’s comments...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 8, 20235 min read


REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #3: NUCLEAR WEAPONS
I am not usually one to throw caution to the wind, but I am rethinking my position on the rhetoric round nuclear weapons.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 25, 202310 min read


NATO, BELARUS AND THE RUSSIAN NUKES
When NATO meets in Vilnius for its annual summit next week, Ukraine will rightly dominate the agenda. The lack of consensus within NATO abou

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 20237 min read


LUKASHENKA AND THE PRIGOZHIN MUTINY
One man unexpectedly came out of last month’s spectacle rather well: Belarus’s dictator, Alyaksandr Lukashenka. What was his role, really?

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 202310 min read


PRIGOZHIN VS. PUTIN: A STORY OF RUSSIAN RAGE
He feels that he can say anything he likes without consequence. He gets away with airing in public his feud with the Russian military....

Paul Hansbury
Jun 24, 20237 min read


AN INCONVENIENT TRIANGLE? RUSSIA, CHINA AND SUDAN
The conflict in Sudan has drawn some – but insufficient – attention back to Russia’s role on the African continent. That role, greatly...

Paul Hansbury
May 10, 20236 min read
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