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NOTEBOOK (SEPTEMBER – PART II)
This is part two of my roundup of things I might have written more about. I'm leaving out the calls for Russia to be stripped of its...

Paul Hansbury
Sep 24, 20235 min read


NOTEBOOK (SEPTEMBER – PART I)
One of the biggest challenges since I started this blog is that there is so much going on in, or otherwise affecting, eastern Europe and...

Paul Hansbury
Sep 23, 20234 min read


QUICK NOTES ON THE PUTIN—KIM SUMMIT
With his collar suit and Mao-styled haircut, Kim Yong-Un conjures an image of China... Frankly, I think the summit's significance is slight.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 13, 20235 min read


SCEPTICISM TOWARDS 'PENTAGON SOURCES'
A spate of media stories, beginning a week and a half ago, suggested that Ukraine’s counteroffensive was ‘failing’. Then followed stories...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 28, 20237 min read


PRIGOZHIN’S DEATH: THE BELARUS ANGLE
After Yevgeny Prigozhin’s mercenaries marched on Moscow in late June, and then dramatically backed down, one thing was clear – there was...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 24, 20235 min read


PARSING JUDGEMENT #1: STORMTROOPERS IN UKRAINE
Yes, this really does involve Stormtroopers, but not quite yet. When I started this blog, one of my (many) ideas for content was to...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 16, 20234 min read


TALES OF UNREST: WHY RUSSIA MIGHT PLUNGE INTO NIGER
A few days ago, I wrote that Russia was unlikely to involve itself in the Niger situation, despite Yevgeny Prigozhin’s comments...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 8, 20235 min read


A TURNING POINT IN THE WAR?
I’ve been away on a summer holiday and somewhat detached from the news. Still, I did skim through a newspaper each morning and there was...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 5, 20236 min read


REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #3: NUCLEAR WEAPONS
I am not usually one to throw caution to the wind, but I am rethinking my position on the rhetoric round nuclear weapons.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 25, 202310 min read


QUICK NOTES ON THE NATO SUMMIT
NATO’s annual summit has been and gone. The national delegations have returned to their home countries, dispersing like a bag of marbles...

Paul Hansbury
Jul 13, 20235 min read


NATO, BELARUS AND THE RUSSIAN NUKES
When NATO meets in Vilnius for its annual summit next week, Ukraine will rightly dominate the agenda. The lack of consensus within NATO abou

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 20237 min read


LUKASHENKA AND THE PRIGOZHIN MUTINY
One man unexpectedly came out of last month’s spectacle rather well: Belarus’s dictator, Alyaksandr Lukashenka. What was his role, really?

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 202310 min read


PRIGOZHIN VS. PUTIN: A STORY OF RUSSIAN RAGE
He feels that he can say anything he likes without consequence. He gets away with airing in public his feud with the Russian military....

Paul Hansbury
Jun 24, 20237 min read


AWKWARD INTELLIGENCE
In the context of the war in Ukraine, I’ve found myself thinking frequently about the relationship between the intelligence community and...

Paul Hansbury
Jun 13, 20236 min read


ON UKRAINE'S COUNTER-OFFENSIVE
The Chaplain struggles to distinguish between illusion and reality. I can’t remember the context of the following quote from Catch-22...

Paul Hansbury
Jun 6, 20238 min read


BELARUS NOTES #3: SUCCESSION
Speculation surrounded Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s recent disappearance from public. After a six-day absence, he reappeared scrubbed and...

Paul Hansbury
May 30, 20236 min read


WILL SOUTH AFRICA ARREST PUTIN?
The war in Ukraine has thrown a spotlight onto South Africa’s relationship with Russia. Although South Africa publicly proclaims itself...

Paul Hansbury
May 22, 20236 min read


BELARUS NOTES #2: LUKASHENKA'S HEALTH
I’m resisting a click-bait worthy title. BNE Intellinews has gone with the bold: ‘Is Lukashenko Dead?’ Like most people commenting on...

Paul Hansbury
May 15, 20233 min read


REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #2: CRIMEA
We have been hearing about Ukraine’s spring counter-offensive since what seems like time out of mind. As spring arrived, reports claimed...

Paul Hansbury
May 12, 20236 min read


AN INCONVENIENT TRIANGLE? RUSSIA, CHINA AND SUDAN
The conflict in Sudan has drawn some – but insufficient – attention back to Russia’s role on the African continent. That role, greatly...

Paul Hansbury
May 10, 20236 min read
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