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IS THE CSTO MORE THAN A PAPER TIGER?
Belarus hosted a CSTO summit in Minsk last week. Fractures between members of the military bloc are hard to paper over however.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 30, 20235 min read


BIDEN, XI JINPING AND THE SHADOW OF WAR
If anyone doubts how far the Russia-Ukraine war has fallen down the agenda, look at the coverage of the Biden-Xi Jinping press conference.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 22, 20235 min read


BELARUS NOTES #5: TO HAVE AND HAVE NOT
A recent decree will make many Belarusians stateless. The opposition is trying to convince others its New Belarus passport is the solution.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 18, 20235 min read


THE OLD MEN AND THE BOMB
Forty years ago this week the world came close to nuclear war. NATO's Able Archer exercise very nearly went very wrong.

Paul Hansbury
Nov 7, 20235 min read


MISERY, TEDIUM AND WAR
An essay, of sorts, on war.

Paul Hansbury
Oct 30, 20237 min read


THE RUSSIANS ARE EYELESS IN GAZA TOO
I've heard some pretty off-the-wall claims over the past week. The authors of this article think the fact that Hamas attacked Israelis on...

Paul Hansbury
Oct 16, 20234 min read


BELARUS NOTES #4: THE OPPOSITION & THE EU
Open Democracy published a ‘rebuttal’ to my recent article for them. I knew that a response was coming and I welcome the challenge to the...

Paul Hansbury
Oct 13, 20236 min read


NOTEBOOK (SEPTEMBER – PART II)
This is part two of my roundup of things I might have written more about. I'm leaving out the calls for Russia to be stripped of its...

Paul Hansbury
Sep 24, 20235 min read


NOTEBOOK (SEPTEMBER – PART I)
One of the biggest challenges since I started this blog is that there is so much going on in, or otherwise affecting, eastern Europe and...

Paul Hansbury
Sep 23, 20234 min read


QUICK NOTES ON THE PUTIN—KIM SUMMIT
With his collar suit and Mao-styled haircut, Kim Yong-Un conjures an image of China... Frankly, I think the summit's significance is slight.

Paul Hansbury
Sep 13, 20235 min read


SCEPTICISM TOWARDS 'PENTAGON SOURCES'
A spate of media stories, beginning a week and a half ago, suggested that Ukraine’s counteroffensive was ‘failing’. Then followed stories...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 28, 20237 min read


PRIGOZHIN’S DEATH: THE BELARUS ANGLE
After Yevgeny Prigozhin’s mercenaries marched on Moscow in late June, and then dramatically backed down, one thing was clear – there was...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 24, 20235 min read


PARSING JUDGEMENT #1: STORMTROOPERS IN UKRAINE
Yes, this really does involve Stormtroopers, but not quite yet. When I started this blog, one of my (many) ideas for content was to...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 16, 20234 min read


TALES OF UNREST: WHY RUSSIA MIGHT PLUNGE INTO NIGER
A few days ago, I wrote that Russia was unlikely to involve itself in the Niger situation, despite Yevgeny Prigozhin’s comments...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 8, 20235 min read


A TURNING POINT IN THE WAR?
I’ve been away on a summer holiday and somewhat detached from the news. Still, I did skim through a newspaper each morning and there was...

Paul Hansbury
Aug 5, 20236 min read


REASONS TO CHANGE TACK #3: NUCLEAR WEAPONS
I am not usually one to throw caution to the wind, but I am rethinking my position on the rhetoric round nuclear weapons.

Paul Hansbury
Jul 25, 202310 min read


QUICK NOTES ON THE NATO SUMMIT
NATO’s annual summit has been and gone. The national delegations have returned to their home countries, dispersing like a bag of marbles...

Paul Hansbury
Jul 13, 20235 min read


NATO, BELARUS AND THE RUSSIAN NUKES
When NATO meets in Vilnius for its annual summit next week, Ukraine will rightly dominate the agenda. The lack of consensus within NATO abou

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 20237 min read


LUKASHENKA AND THE PRIGOZHIN MUTINY
One man unexpectedly came out of last month’s spectacle rather well: Belarus’s dictator, Alyaksandr Lukashenka. What was his role, really?

Paul Hansbury
Jul 10, 202310 min read


PRIGOZHIN VS. PUTIN: A STORY OF RUSSIAN RAGE
He feels that he can say anything he likes without consequence. He gets away with airing in public his feud with the Russian military....

Paul Hansbury
Jun 24, 20237 min read
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